Insights
Our Latest Insights
Don’t worry, be happy? Worry a little, but let the data and facts guide and calm
Less than a month to go before “halftime” in 2026 and, so far, global equity returns are solidly good. The S&P 500 has advanced almost 11% in price through May, while the small cap laden Russell 2000 index has surged almost 18% in price. On the international...
Earnings drive the rally as risks linger
The S&P 500 rebounded sharply in April, rising 10.5% and bringing year-to-date returns to 5.7%. Looking across major indices, emerging markets and small cap stocks outperformed the S&P 500, while developed international equities posted solid, albeit less...
Volatility returns as global risks rise
The S&P 500 finished the month of March down 5.0%, bringing year-to-date losses to 4.3%. There were very few places to hide, as 10-year Treasury yields rose from 3.96% to 4.32%, gold declined 11%, and international equities underperformed their domestic...
Risk awareness and diversification 2.0 taking root
The S&P 500 finished the month down 0.8%, bringing year-to-date returns to 0.7%1. During our Crystal Ball Outlook, we outlined 2026 as the year of “Risk Awareness and Diversification 2.0 (RAD),” calling for broader leadership across the market, not just within the...
Déjà vu starting to play out
“Déjà vu confirms a faithful path worth taking.”– T.F. Hodge Folks familiar with me know I like to use themes when discussing my economic and capital market views. I tend to view the economy (and much else in life) in a historical context. Why? Just because this is a...
Decent Q4 makes it three straight years of double-digit returns. How about four in a row?
We wouldn’t call it a scorching Santa Claus rally, but the S&P 500 was able to hang on and post a positive total return of roughly 2.7% in Q4 2025. This put a nice cherry on top of another solid year for US equity investors. In calendar 2025, the S&P 500...





