Insights

The S&P 500 finished June down 2.9%, but still closed the second quarter with a very healthy 13% return1. Through the first half of the year, the index has gained 8%, keeping it well on pace toward our year-end price target. As we’ve discussed throughout the year,...

Less than a month to go before “halftime” in 2026 and, so far, global equity returns are solidly good. The S&P 500 has advanced almost 11% in price through May, while the small cap laden Russell 2000 index has surged almost 18% in price. On the international...

The S&P 500 rebounded sharply in April, rising 10.5% and bringing year-to-date returns to 5.7%. Looking across major indices, emerging markets and small cap stocks outperformed the S&P 500, while developed international equities posted solid, albeit less...

The S&P 500 finished the month of March down 5.0%, bringing year-to-date losses to 4.3%. There were very few places to hide, as 10-year Treasury yields rose from 3.96% to 4.32%, gold declined 11%, and international equities underperformed their domestic...

The S&P 500 finished the month down 0.8%, bringing year-to-date returns to 0.7%1. During our Crystal Ball Outlook, we outlined 2026 as the year of “Risk Awareness and Diversification 2.0 (RAD),” calling for broader leadership across the market, not just within the...

“Déjà vu confirms a faithful path worth taking.”– T.F. Hodge Folks familiar with me know I like to use themes when discussing my economic and capital market views. I tend to view the economy (and much else in life) in a historical context. Why? Just because this is a...