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Midterms, rates, and the fundamentals that matter

Midterms, rates, and the fundamentals that matter

September brought a return of volatility, but closed out another strong quarter for the market. The S&P 500 finished the month down -0.3%, bringing year-to-date returns to 12.75%. But beneath the index level, the story was more mixed. Small Cap stocks struggled,...

Still looking good, but don’t get complacent

Still looking good, but don’t get complacent

“You’ve got to know when to hold ’em, know when to fold ’em”– Kenny Rogers, “The Gambler” There was no shortage of headlines this month to test investor resolve. Long-term Treasury yields climbed to multi-decade highs amid renewed concerns about deficit and inflation....

Déjà vu on Track

Déjà vu on Track

If there are two economic measures which reflect economic macro-trends better than others, they have to be GDP growth and inflation. These two economic measures contain data which drives job creation, the cost of living, interest rates and corporate profits. GDP...

A new Fed, familiar market dynamics

A new Fed, familiar market dynamics

The S&P 500 finished June down 2.9%, but still closed the second quarter with a very healthy 13% return1. Through the first half of the year, the index has gained 8%, keeping it well on pace toward our year-end price target. As we’ve discussed throughout the year,...

Earnings drive the rally as risks linger

Earnings drive the rally as risks linger

The S&P 500 rebounded sharply in April, rising 10.5% and bringing year-to-date returns to 5.7%. Looking across major indices, emerging markets and small cap stocks outperformed the S&P 500, while developed international equities posted solid, albeit less...

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